Battle of I-25, Aggies vs Lobos Game Preview

The stage is set for a classic rivalry as the New Mexico State Aggies and the New Mexico Lobos face off this Saturday.

New Mexico State Aggies (1-2)

The Aggies enter this showdown with a season record of 1-2. In their most recent battle against the Liberty Flames, they fought valiantly but fell short with a final score of 33-17. Quarterback Diego Pavia took charge, completing 12 of 21 passes for 150 yards and a touchdown, displaying both potential and room for improvement. Pavia also showcased his versatility by leading the rushing attack with 63 yards on 9 carries. Despite their offensive efforts, the Aggies faced challenges on the defensive front, allowing 250 rushing yards on 52 attempts and 276 passing yards on 15 completions.

When it comes to their overall performance this season, the New Mexico State Aggies have displayed offensive prowess, averaging 35.0 points per game. Their total yardage stands at 1,447, with 7 touchdowns through the air and 7 on the ground. However, ball security has been an issue, with 6 turnovers hampering their progress.

New Mexico Lobos (1-1)

The Lobos head into this game with a record of 1-1, riding high after a dominant 56-10 victory over the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles. Quarterback Dylan Hopkins emerged as a star, amassing 273 passing yards and an impressive 4 touchdowns on 13 of 17 attempts. His performance earned him a remarkable QB rating of 277.2, although he did throw 1 interception. Jacory Croskey-Merritt powered the ground game with 162 yards on 12 carries, showcasing the Lobos’ multi-dimensional offensive capabilities. 

The Lobos’ offensive prowess is evident, averaging 404.5 yards per game and putting up an average of 33.0 points per game. However, they have room for improvement, as penalties have cost them 209 yards on 21 infractions. Their defense has shown vulnerability, allowing 6 touchdown passes this season and struggling to secure interceptions.

Matchup Notes

– New Mexico State has struggled when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first-down plays and when losing fumbles.
– New Mexico has faced challenges when opponents rush more than 30 times and when they allow 7 or more explosive plays.
– Both teams have room for improvement in critical areas, setting the stage for an intriguing battle.


The line sits at UNM -2, the Aggies have been great against the spread. I’ll take the points, NMSU +2. I think the Aggies will win close by 3.

Story by Christian Molinar